Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 220.623448 248.093387 278.469161 314.692914 356.900054 404.749146 463.414823
2025-03-23 180.234598 216.598212 260.286798 317.218074 390.295368 482.118268 608.108200
2025-03-30 154.559788 193.496853 242.762509 310.718538 403.701114 529.011033 715.158476
2025-04-06 138.034475 178.569537 232.052204 309.371577 421.018117 580.851455 835.608420
2025-04-13 121.214910 160.792834 214.726716 295.617310 417.536375 600.848523 910.642469
2025-04-20 115.001158 156.547728 215.095937 306.373191 450.403178 678.842795 1090.920161
2025-04-27 110.318759 153.782178 216.960743 319.096012 487.451099 768.667034 1309.882634
2025-05-04 103.311891 146.835677 211.735415 319.868998 504.800441 827.745475 1485.599548
2025-05-11 95.256586 137.554868 201.964674 312.010337 506.137197 858.249346 1611.860695
2025-05-18 88.575324 129.806930 193.832908 305.837041 509.327759 892.159330 1752.186552
2025-05-25 85.745443 127.816919 194.646341 314.831997 540.938269 985.387808 2044.817077
2025-06-01 81.284995 122.849554 190.103791 313.830273 553.436810 1042.136629 2267.868359
2025-06-08 76.074540 116.409188 182.770498 307.403160 555.274485 1078.499488 2455.630608
2025-06-15 72.576226 112.566035 179.570479 308.309928 572.046278 1150.736741 2760.511893
2025-06-22 68.292581 107.088340 173.063880 302.216268 573.365908 1187.941059 2980.206892
2025-06-29 65.123488 103.297161 169.235453 300.892550 584.633700 1250.689338 3296.607046
2025-07-06 60.482924 96.668303 159.823460 287.601316 567.881650 1241.692018 3387.044542
2025-07-13 59.522026 96.428294 162.045387 297.997274 605.898783 1379.216899 4012.113938
2025-07-20 58.833883 96.613519 165.045982 310.291041 650.210767 1543.754690 4811.670360
2025-07-27 56.732933 94.100796 162.728875 311.037825 666.831214 1635.300642 5381.303451
2025-08-03 53.792764 89.879335 156.828747 303.444824 661.705935 1662.756457 5703.999011
2025-08-10 51.244374 86.250979 151.860193 297.479153 660.008093 1700.507810 6092.083558
2025-08-17 50.474756 85.908493 153.356915 306.171272 697.774391 1869.953188 7182.129554